FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
Recent polls in Turkey show the opposition's advantage in the parliamentary race and in possible presidential scenarios...
The latest polls in Turkey show the Republican People's Party (CHP) has consolidated its lead in voter support, confirming a trend repeated in several consecutive polls. The results increase pressure on President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's government, while key opposition figures emerge ahead of him in possible presidential runoff scenarios.
According to the Gundemar Arastirma and Ankara Arastirma ve Danismanlik polls, the political balance is shifting, although the data does not yet indicate a final reversal of the political scene. In the Gundemar poll, conducted on April 23-26 with 2,250 participants, the CHP ranks first with 36.1%, while the Justice and Development Party (AKP) follows with 28.56%.
The DEM Party ranks third with 8.61%, followed by the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), the İYİ Party and the Zafer Party. The Ankara Arastirma ve Danismanlik poll also puts the CHP in the lead, confirming the continued pressure on the ruling alliance and the opposition's momentum.
The main focus is on presidential scenarios. In the Gundemar poll, Ekrem İmamoğlu gets 57.35% against 42.65% for Erdoğan, while Mansur Yavas reaches 57.83% against 42.17%. Ozgur Ozel also comes out ahead, with 52.99% against 47.01% for the Turkish president.
A similar picture emerges from the Ankara Arastirma ve Danismanlik poll. After accounting for undecided voters, İmamoğlu ranks 55.6% to 44.4% for Erdogan, while Yavas gets 56% to 44%. In a hypothetical race between Özgür Ozel and Erdogan, the gap narrows significantly: the CHP leader leads with 50.7% to 49.3%.
These data demonstrate the growing importance of opposition candidate selection, as electoral dynamics vary according to the political profile of each candidate. They also show that the opposition maintains a stable electoral base, despite internal divisions and the polarized political climate in the country.
Polls also show greater public support for early elections. In the Ankara Arastirma survey, 6 out of 10 respondents expressed support for early voting, in a context aggravated by the economic situation, persistent inflation and the decline in the purchasing power of families.
However, polls do not indicate a collapse of the ruling bloc. The AKP still retains considerable electoral influence, while the alliance with the MHP remains key to the cohesion of the ruling coalition. The role of the DEM Party and the stance of Kurdish voters are expected to be decisive in any possible run-off scenario.
The political landscape in Turkey remains fluid. However, the CHP's repeated lead in the polls and the stronger performance of opposition figures in presidential scenarios indicate that the Turkish political system is entering a phase of greater uncertainty and political reorganization. Economic developments, internal balances within the CHP, and the decisions of the Erdogan government in the coming months are expected to significantly influence the country's next political phase. / Pamphlet /
Në të gjitha sondazhet e opinionit publik të kryera deri më sot, në garën presidenciale, kryetari i bashkisë së Ankarasë, "njeriu i hekurt" i CHP-së, Mansur Yavash, merr 68% të votave i vetëm! Yavash do t'i ngulë gozhdën e fundit në arkivolin e Erdoganit! Turqia kthehet në "Sistemin Demokratik Parlamentar" dhe i jep përparësi reformës në drejtësi! Ne duhet ta vlerësojmë sistemin tonë politik dhe të ndihemi të lumtur që kemi demokraci.