FLASH
Shkruar nga Gjergj Zefi
The American president is moving between ultimatums and ceasefires without a real strategy, while domestic protests remain the only serious threat to the Islamic Republic...
Donald Trump is behaving with Iran like a casino businessman who thinks diplomacy works with televised ultimatums, Twitter threats, and demonstrative bombings.
The problem is that the Middle East is not Manhattan, and the Islamic Republic is not a company that goes bankrupt under media pressure. With each passing day, the crisis with Iran is exposing Trump's greatest flaw: his dramatic lack of diplomatic culture and obsession with spectacle.
He entered the conflict promising a "quick end," then talked about massive bombing, then a ceasefire, and now secret negotiations.
This is not strategy. It's improvisation. And in diplomacy, improvisation is the most dangerous form of incompetence.
Trump still seems to have failed to grasp a historical fact that even first-year international relations students know: authoritarian regimes in the Middle East are not toppled by airstrikes. On the contrary, external bombing often strengthens them, producing the effect of a "patriotic siege."
Even recent international analyses warn that the war has consolidated the most radical segments of the Iranian regime, rather than weakening it.
Herein lies the great irony of Trump's policy: the man who claims to be fighting the regime is, in practice, giving it the perfect excuse for domestic repression.
Every time Washington threatens "total destruction," the Revolutionary Guard gains political oxygen to suppress protests and label any opposition figure as an "American agent."
Iran's modern history has clearly shown: external threat has always produced defensive nationalism. Whereas internal protests; economic, social and political, are the only mechanism that has truly shaken the foundations of the regime. The protests of 2022–2026 have created a deep erosion of the legitimacy of the Islamic Republic, especially among urban youth, women and the Iranian middle class.
If Washington had a serious, non-theatrical strategy, the focus would not be on missiles, but on political and diplomatic support for Iranian civil society. Targeted economic pressure on repressive elites, diplomatic isolation of the Revolutionary Guard, support for freedom of information, and international exposure of the regime's crimes would have more effect than any bombing "show" for American cameras. D
Western analysts have openly stated that only a combination of international pressure and domestic revolt can bring about change in Iran.
But Trump doesn't think in the long term. He thinks in 24-hour newscasts. That's why his Iran policy resembles more of an aggressive reality show than a serious national security doctrine.
Ultimately, the question is whether the Trump administration has the strategic patience to understand that ideological regimes are not overthrown by military arrogance, but by internal rot. And that rot in Iran has already begun./ Pamphlet
Kur fillo e hy troklliku, nuk le vrime muri qe hy e s'del. I ka thone Sefer Daja, Barom Celikut, t'ka glu muti per temel. Eshte theni universale me e arte.