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If the current dynamics of the war in Ukraine continue and domestic pressures increase, the Russian president could face being ousted from power within three years...
The American magazine Forbes estimates that Russian President Vladimir Putin is facing an increasingly difficult situation, where the war in Ukraine, domestic pressures and the perception of the Kremlin's weakening are creating a fragile political environment. According to the article, the possibility that his stay in power is entering its final phase cannot be ruled out.
According to Forbes, the ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks have caused serious difficulties in supplying Crimea with fuel. At the same time, long lines of vehicles during the peak tourist season have reinforced the negative image of the Russian administration of the region. The magazine emphasizes that the Kerch Bridge remains the main supply corridor and a facility of great strategic and symbolic importance.
The article argues that developments on the front have a direct impact on the Kremlin's political legitimacy. According to the author, when the consequences of the war become visible to public opinion, not only the military situation is damaged, but also the credibility of the political leadership. In this context, Forbes speaks of a gradual erosion of Putin's authority, which, according to the magazine, can accelerate political developments.
The publication also touches on signs of discontent within the Russian camp. As an example, military blogger Alexander Luin is mentioned, who, according to the article, has publicly warned of the risk of a rebellion and has demanded a live television conversation with Putin. Forbes interprets this as an indication of concern among the Russian elites about their future in the event of political destabilization.
The magazine presents several possible scenarios for Putin's political end, citing as possibilities a violent overthrow or a public trial in which he would be held accountable for the consequences of his rule. Forbes' final assessment is that, if current trends continue or worsen, the Russian president could be ousted from power within three years.
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