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Lifestyle2026-03-09 19:09:00

Oscars: Who will win and who should win

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Oscars: Who will win and who should win

The main Oscar race this year focuses on the showdown between "One Battle After Another" and "Sinners," with the former seen as the favorite for Best Picture and Best Director, while "Sinners" remains very strong in the acting and screenplay categories...

The two most critically acclaimed and culturally influential American films of 2025, "One Battle After Another" and "Sinners," are expected to share the lion's share of the awards at the 98th Academy Awards on March 15.

On paper, “One Battle After Another” seems like the favorite, having won a slew of major awards this season, including accolades from the Critics' Choice Association, Golden Globes, BAFTA and Producers Guild of America. However, “Sinners,” which has been a box office success and has received a record 16 nominations, has entered the finals with strong momentum, especially after winning the top ensemble award from the Screen Actors Guild.

Both films are considered strong contenders for best picture, and the race remains open until the end.

Best Picture – nominees:

"One Battle After Another"
"The Secret Agent"
"Marty Supreme"
"Sinners"
"Hamnet"
"Bugonia"
"Frankenstein"
"F1"
"Train Dreams"
"Sentimental Value"

Prediction for winner : “One Battle After Another”

Best Director – nominees:

Paul Thomas Anderson, "One Battle After Another"
Ryan Coogler, "Sinners"
Josh Safdie, "Marty Supreme"
Joachim Trier, "Sentimental Value"
Chloé Zhao, "Hamnet"

Paul Thomas Anderson is considered the clear favorite in this category.

Winner Prediction: Paul Thomas Anderson, “One Battle After Another”

Best Actress – nominees:

Jessie Buckley, "Hamnet"
Rose Byrne, "If I Had Legs I'd Kick You"
Kate Hudson, "Song Sung Blue"
Renate Reinsve, "Sentimental Value"
Emma Stone, "Bugonia"

This is seen as the clearest competition in acting, with Jessie Buckley the undisputed favorite.

Winner Prediction: Jessie Buckley, “Hamnet”

Best Actor – nominees:

Timothée Chalamet, "Marty Supreme"
Leonardo DiCaprio, "One Battle After Another"
Ethan Hawke, "Blue Moon"
Michael B. Jordan, "Sinners"
Wagner Moura, "The Secret Agent"

This is considered one of the tightest and most unpredictable races. Timothée Chalamet was initially seen as the favorite, but recently the advantage seems to have shifted to Michael B. Jordan after his victory at the SAG Awards.

Winner Prediction: Michael B. Jordan, “Sinners”

Best Supporting Actress – nominees:

Elle Fanning, "Sentimental Value"
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, "Sentimental Value"
Amy Madigan, "Weapons"
Wunmi Mosaku, "Sinners"
Teyana Taylor, "One Battle After Another"

Amy Madigan is emerging as the favorite in the final stage of the competition.

Winner Prediction: Amy Madigan, “Weapons”

Best Supporting Actor – nominees:

Benicio del Toro, "One Battle After Another"
Jacob Elordi, "Frankenstein"
Delroy Lindo, "Sinners"
Sean Penn, "One Battle After Another"
Stellan Skarsgård, "Sentimental Value"

Sean Penn is seen as the current favorite, despite the fluctuations this category has had during the season.

Winner Prediction: Sean Penn, “One Battle After Another”

Best Original Screenplay – nominees:

Robert Kaplow, "Blue Moon"
Jafar Panahi, "It Was Just an Accident"
Josh Safdie and Ronald Bronstein, "Marty Supreme"
Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt, "Sentimental Value"
Ryan Coogler, "Sinners"

Ryan Coogler is considered the favorite for the original screenplay.

Winner Prediction: Ryan Coogler, “Sinners”

Best Adapted Screenplay – nominees:

Will Tracy, "Bugonia"
Guillermo del Toro, "Frankenstein"
Chloé Zhao and Maggie O'Farrell, "Hamnet"
Paul Thomas Anderson, "One Battle After Another"
Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar, "Train Dreams"

Winner Prediction: Paul Thomas Anderson, “One Battle After Another”

Best International Feature – nominees:

"It Was Just an Accident"
"The Secret Agent"
"Sentimental Value"
"Sirāt"
"The Voice of Hind Rajab"

In this category, "Sentimental Value" seems the safest choice for many voters due to its broad support, but "The Secret Agent" is considered a very strong and artistically richer candidate.

Winner Prediction: “The Secret Agent”

The main Oscar race this year focuses on the showdown between "One Battle After Another" and "Sinners," with the former seen as the favorite for Best Picture and Best Director, while "Sinners" remains very strong in the acting and screenplay categories.

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