FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
The price of Brent oil has returned above the $100 per barrel threshold, reflecting a sudden increase in uncertainty in international energy markets after strong fluctuations the day before.
On Tuesday morning in Asian markets, Brent crude rose 3.75% to $103.69 a barrel. At the same time, US Nymex Light Sweet crude rose 3.42% to $91.55 a barrel. The increase comes after a drop of more than 10% recorded on Monday.
The previous decline was fueled by political signals from the United States. President Donald Trump postponed a decision on new strikes on Iran and suggested the possibility of a peace deal in the near term. Markets interpreted this as a reduction in geopolitical risk in the Middle East, a key region for global oil supplies.
However, the return of prices above $100 indicates that investor expectations remain volatile. Denials by Tehran about the existence of talks with the US have increased uncertainty about the course of the conflict. In these conditions, the market is reassessing the risk of potential supply disruptions.
From an economic perspective, this dynamic reflects the high sensitivity of oil prices to geopolitical factors. Any signal of conflict escalation increases the risk premium in the price, while signals of de-escalation decrease it. Recent fluctuations show that this premium remains volatile.
In the absence of new data on production or reserves, political factors are dominating price formation in the short term. This makes the trajectory of oil difficult to predict and increases uncertainties for the global economy, especially for energy-importing countries.
In this context, diplomatic developments between the US and Iran will remain decisive for the future direction of the oil market.
Lini një Përgjigje