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US President Donald Trump is expected to visit China from May 13 to 15. He has said on social media that Chinese leader Xi Jinping will "give him a big, warm hug" when he arrives in Beijing.
However, China's strong economic ties with Iran, combined with trade tensions that have been simmering since Trump's first presidency, could weigh on his visit. Despite years of Trump praising Xi as a strong and respected rival, political and economic realities appear likely to limit the ceremony.
Trump, as he has publicly stated, does not like long flights, so he will stay in China for only 3 days.
Although there will be a welcoming ceremony, it is not expected to be his first visit to China in 2017, which was considered merely a “state visit plus.” During that visit, China had organized a lavish reception and Xi had prepared an exclusive tour of the Forbidden City, where Trump and First Lady Melania Trump enjoyed a private dinner.
Trump became the first foreign leader since the founding of the People's Republic of China in 1949 to be treated with special respect (historically reserved for emperors). The next day was followed by another welcoming ceremony at the Great Hall of the People, with a military parade and a state banquet that included videos from Xi's previous visit to Florida and a song by Trump's niece, Arabella.
As we pointed out, Beijing rarely offers such a grand reception to foreign leaders.
For example, during British Prime Minister Keir Starmer's visit to the Forbidden City in January, Xi was absent and the site remained open to ordinary tourists. Starmer walked through the crowd of visitors without any special ceremony, clearly showing the difference with the reception given to Trump.
Political analysts warn that, despite the possible ceremony, Trump's visit to Beijing this week will be more limited, less spectacular and more cautious, considering current international tensions and China's complicated economic relations.
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