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The Strait of Hormuz, one of the most important arteries of global energy trade, may never return to its previous normality, according to estimates by security analysts and military experts.
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) says the Iranian regime may try to exploit negotiations with the United States to end the current conflict, redirecting them towards broader regional issues and buying time to consolidate its strategic positions.
Analysts estimate that Tehran could use this period to legitimize its scheme to control maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz and strengthen its de facto influence over this vital corridor for the global economy.
Speaking about recent developments, military analyst Michael Clarke said that Iranian authorities have been surprised by the ease with which they have managed to exert pressure on shipping in the area.
"The Iranians are surprised by how easy it is to control the strait ," Clarke said.
He warned that the consequences of this situation will go beyond the immediate economic costs.
"The cost that the rest of us bear, in addition to the immediate economic cost that we are all bearing, is that the Strait of Hormuz will never return to its previous state," he said.
According to Clarke, a new strategic reality has now been created, where any action by Iran can immediately affect shipping movements and international markets.
"Now we all know that the Iranians can make it dangerous again in an instant. They can make a decision 24 hours later, a few gunshots at passing ships and everything will stop," he added.
In conclusion, the expert emphasized that the perception of safety on this waterway has changed forever.
"The Strait of Hormuz will never return to the waterway it was, because we have been through this process," Clarke declared.
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