
Only 1/2 of the respondents who voted on May 11 for the ten different opposition parties wanted Flori to be the opponent of Ogerta.
In the last municipal elections of Tirana, Belind Këlliçi received only 100.4 thousand votes. But in the territory of the Municipality of Tirana, two years ago, the parties that supported Këlliçi (PD, LSI, PR, PDIU, PBDNJ, PAA, PDK, LN, ADR, ABEOK, PLDSH, LRE, and PBK) had received a full 170 thousand votes. A deficit of almost 70 thousand votes for Këlliçi, compared to the votes that the parties that supported him in the race for the Municipality of Tirana had received two years ago!
From a rough extrapolation of the results of the survey I recently conducted for ABC NEWS, it turned out that around 113 thousand Tirana residents would vote for Florjan Binaj (if the elections were held today). But in the territory of the Municipality of Tirana, five months ago, the parties that support Binaj (PD, LSI, PR, PDIU, PBDNJ, PAA, PDK, NISMA-SHB, MUNDESIA, DZH, ADR and ANASH) received a full 157 thousand votes. A deficit of around 44 thousand votes for Binaj, compared to the votes that the parties that currently support him in the race for the Municipality of Tirana received five months ago!
Without covering this deficit, Flori cannot approach Ogerta's purple wall, which seems likely to remain at 160,000 votes...
In fact, three other questions in the aforementioned survey illustrate the Herculean challenge that Flori currently faces.
Only 1/2 of the respondents who voted on May 11 for the ten different opposition parties wanted Flori to face Ogerta (1/10 of them wanted Qori and 4/10 wanted another candidate).
Among all adult Tirana residents of all colors (blue, violet, gray), only 1/7 believed that Flori is truly an independent candidate. Meanwhile, among all adult Tirana residents of all colors (blue, violet, gray), only 1/5 believed that Flori could win the elections in the Municipality of Tirana, while 4/5 believed that Ogerta will win...
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